Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 24 August 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 24 August 2025. Utrecht vs Excelsior (Utrecht or draw) sits top on 94% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
94%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen or draw
87%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
87%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg or draw
85%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga or draw
85%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld or draw
83%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United or draw
83%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
83%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha or draw
83%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
83%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
83%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen or draw
82%
Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk or draw
82%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
81%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica or draw
81%
Premier League · Russia
Baltika or draw
81%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors or draw
81%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 24 August 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Utrecht vs Excelsior (Utrecht or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.