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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 25 August 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 25 August 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Palmeiras vs Sport Recife (Palmeiras or draw) at 81% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 81%
Palmeiras
3 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Levadiakos or draw 80%
Levadiakos
3 : 2 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Wisla Plock or draw 80%
Wisla Plock
2 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#4 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan or draw 79%
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland SJK or draw 79%
Haka
2 : 3 FT
SJK
Win 21%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Oddevold or draw 77%
GIF Sundsvall
0 : 1 FT
Oddevold
Win 23%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France PAU or draw 77%
PAU
2 : 0 FT
Reims
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Utrecht or draw 76%
Jong Utrecht
4 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 75%
Sao Paulo
2 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 25 August 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Palmeiras vs Sport Recife (Palmeiras or draw) at 81% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.