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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 13 July 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Sunday 13 July 2025. Stromsgodset vs Tromso (Tromso or draw) led the list at 88% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Tromso or draw 88%
Stromsgodset
2 : 3 FT
Tromso
Win 12%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 88%
AIK Stockholm
3 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada York United or draw 86%
York United
3 : 2 FT
Valour
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway KFUM Oslo or draw 81%
Haugesund
0 : 2 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg or draw 79%
Rosenborg
2 : 0 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken or draw 76%
BK Hacken
4 : 1 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 75%
Bahia
2 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 13 July 2025?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Stromsgodset vs Tromso (Tromso or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.