Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 25 April 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 25 April 2025. Dordrecht vs MVV (Dordrecht or draw) sits top on 93% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht or draw
93%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar or draw
90%
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan or draw
87%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia or draw
83%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
82%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera or draw
81%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City or draw
81%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval or draw
81%
Primera División · Chile
Nublense or draw
80%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
80%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş or draw
79%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa or draw
79%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia or draw
79%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria or draw
78%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg or draw
77%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese or draw
77%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
77%
Serie B · Italy
Salernitana or draw
77%
Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93 or draw
75%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 25 April 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dordrecht vs MVV (Dordrecht or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.