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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 15 March 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 15 March 2025. Bradford vs Tranmere (Bradford or draw) sits top on 93% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 93%
Bradford
0 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 66% Bradford Clean Sheet 62%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 90%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 88%
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 87%
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 61% FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheet 53%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC or draw 87%
Servette FC
2 : 3 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Premier League Β· England Wolves or draw 87%
Southampton
1 : 2 FT
Wolves
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Championship Β· England Preston or draw 86%
Preston
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 61%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 86%
Al Okhdood
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 65%
BTTS No 56%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Bari or draw 86%
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Salernitana
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 86%
Lincoln
5 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 86%
Gaziantep FK
1 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 85%
Heerenveen
1 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 85%
Farense
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 15%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ SC Braga Clean Sheet 55%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 84%
Union Berlin
1 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#15 Premier League Β· England Nottingham Forest or draw 84%
Ipswich
2 : 4 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 16%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 83%
Başakşehir
0 : 3 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy Sassuolo or draw 83%
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Patro Eisden or draw 83%
Lommel United
0 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 17%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 82%
Carlisle
1 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 18%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 73% AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 59%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg or draw 81%
SV Elversberg
0 : 1 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 15 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bradford vs Tranmere (Bradford or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.