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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 28 January 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Tuesday 28 January 2025. Swindon Town vs Tranmere (Swindon Town or draw) sits top on 90% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 90%
Swindon Town
3 : 1 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heracles or draw 84%
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#3 League One Β· England Charlton or draw 84%
Charlton
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Charlton Clean Sheet 54%
#4 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 84%
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#5 League One Β· England Rotherham or draw 83%
Rotherham
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 League Two Β· England Notts County or draw 82%
Notts County
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 81%
Salford City
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#8 League One Β· England Wrexham or draw 80%
Wrexham
2 : 3 FT
Stevenage
Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 76% Wrexham Clean Sheet 60%
#9 League One Β· England Mansfield Town or draw 80%
Mansfield Town
0 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#10 League One Β· England Stockport County or draw 79%
Stockport County
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#11 Championship Β· England Portsmouth or draw 77%
Portsmouth
0 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 76%
Bolton
3 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#13 League One Β· England Leyton Orient or draw 75%
Exeter City
2 : 6 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 28 January 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Swindon Town vs Tranmere (Swindon Town or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.