Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 12 January 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 January 2025. Paris Saint Germain vs Saint Etienne (Paris Saint Germain or draw) sits top on 96% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
96%
Serie A · Italy
Inter or draw
93%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens or draw
88%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
87%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK or draw
87%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia or draw
86%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda or draw
84%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
84%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor or draw
83%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
82%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente or draw
81%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
80%
Serie B · Italy
Cesena or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar or draw
80%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese or draw
79%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro or draw
78%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor or draw
76%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp or draw
76%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 12 January 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Paris Saint Germain vs Saint Etienne (Paris Saint Germain or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.