Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 11 January 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 11 January 2025. Genk vs OH Leuven (Genk or draw) led the list at 91% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk or draw
91%
League Two · England
Walsall or draw
91%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
90%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
89%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC or draw
87%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo or draw
87%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş or draw
87%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg or draw
86%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC or draw
86%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
86%
Ligue 2 · France
Lorient or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05 or draw
85%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
85%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia or draw
84%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
82%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
82%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta or draw
82%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 11 January 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Genk vs OH Leuven (Genk or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.