Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 23 November 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 23 November 2024. The strongest reading belongs to PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 97% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
97%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
93%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
91%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk or draw
90%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
89%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne or draw
88%
La Liga · Spain
Girona or draw
87%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz or draw
87%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
86%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart or draw
86%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro or draw
86%
League One · England
Peterborough or draw
85%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
85%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
84%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze or draw
84%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV or draw
83%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM or draw
83%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira or draw
83%
Premier League · England
Chelsea or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 23 November 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 97% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.