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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 22 November 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 22 November 2024. Bayern München vs FC Augsburg (Bayern München or draw) led the list at 96% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 96%
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 72%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 94%
Antwerp
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 75%
Draw 19%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 56% Antwerp Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 92%
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France Laval or draw 88%
Martigues
0 : 3 FT
Laval
Win 12%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 61%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Laval Clean Sheet 62%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 87%
De Graafschap
4 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium K. Lierse S.K. or draw 84%
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 84%
Jagiellonia
2 : 2 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur or draw 82%
Vitesse
0 : 6 FT
Cambuur
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 82%
VVV Venlo
0 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 80%
Al-Nassr
1 : 2 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France PAU or draw 79%
PAU
4 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe or draw 79%
Getafe
2 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 78%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 73%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 78%
Monaco
3 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Zaglebie Lubin or draw 77%
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp or draw 77%
Guingamp
3 : 0 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab or draw 76%
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 76%
Jong Ajax
3 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#19 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge II or draw 75%
Club Brugge II
0 : 4 FT
AS Eupen
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 75%
Sharjah FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Nasr
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 22 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs FC Augsburg (Bayern München or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.