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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 25 November 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Monday 25 November 2024. Dordrecht vs FC OSS (Dordrecht or draw) led the list at 93% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 93%
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 60% Dordrecht Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France Dunkerque or draw 85%
Dunkerque
1 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 83%
Newcastle
0 : 2 FT
West Ham
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 79%
Trabzonspor
5 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 76%
FC Volendam
3 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 5 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 25 November 2024?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Dordrecht vs FC OSS (Dordrecht or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.