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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 20 July 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 20 July 2024. Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall (Osters IF or draw) led the list at 91% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden Osters IF or draw 91%
Osters IF
2 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Osters IF Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 87%
Kalmar FF
2 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 13%
Draw 17%
Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 83%
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Botafogo or draw 81%
Botafogo
1 : 0 FT
Internacional
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Coquimbo Unido or draw 80%
Coquimbo Unido
1 : 0 FT
Nublense
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile Huachipato or draw 80%
Huachipato
1 : 1 FT
Cobreloa
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gangwon FC or draw 80%
Gangwon FC
4 : 0 FT
Jeju United FC
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 79%
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 79%
Lokomotiv
3 : 2 FT
Akron
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 79%
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 77%
HJK Helsinki
2 : 0 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 76%
Flamengo
2 : 1 FT
Criciuma
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 20 July 2024?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall (Osters IF or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.