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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 26 April 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 26 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to FC St. Pauli vs Hansa Rostock (FC St. Pauli or draw) at 88% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 76%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 88%
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 86%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Vienna or draw 83%
Austria Vienna
2 : 2 FT
SCR Altach
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 83%
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 2 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 82%
Adana Demirspor
0 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC or draw 81%
Emirates Club
0 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 81%
Chengdu Better City
0 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Arouca or draw 80%
GIL Vicente
2 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 80%
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 80%
Cambuur
3 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 80%
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shelbourne or draw 79%
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#13 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku or draw 79%
Inter Turku
2 : 1 FT
EIF
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#14 Super League Β· China Tianjin Teda or draw 77%
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 76%
Frosinone
3 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 75%
QPR
4 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 75%
Piast Gliwice
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 26 April 2024?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC St. Pauli vs Hansa Rostock (FC St. Pauli or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.