Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Sunday 25 February 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 25 February 2024. Panathinaikos vs Kifisia (Panathinaikos or draw) led the list at 96% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Super League 1 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
96%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica or draw
95%
Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus or draw
91%
Serie A Β· Italy
Inter or draw
90%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid or draw
88%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK or draw
86%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi or draw
86%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis or draw
86%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA or draw
85%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
85%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
84%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice or draw
84%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
84%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor or draw
84%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük or draw
84%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
83%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
83%
Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys or draw
81%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille or draw
81%
Serie B Β· Italy
Modena or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 25 February 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Panathinaikos vs Kifisia (Panathinaikos or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.