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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 25 February 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 25 February 2024. Panathinaikos vs Kifisia (Panathinaikos or draw) led the list at 96% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League 1 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 96%
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
Kifisia
Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS No 55% Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 95%
Benfica
4 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 91%
Juventus
3 : 2 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 90%
Lecce
0 : 4 FT
Inter
Win 10%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 88%
Real Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 54%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 86%
Panetolikos
1 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 14%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 86%
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Uthai Thani
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 86%
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 85%
Beerschot VA
0 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 53%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 85%
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 84%
Almere City FC
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 16%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 84%
Nice
0 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 84%
Excelsior
1 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Sivasspor or draw 84%
Sivasspor
4 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 84%
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 83%
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 53%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 83%
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 81%
BSC Young Boys
0 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 81%
Marseille
4 : 1 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 81%
Modena
0 : 0 FT
Spezia
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 25 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Panathinaikos vs Kifisia (Panathinaikos or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.