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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 23 February 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 23 February 2024. Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bayer Leverkusen or draw) led the list at 91% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 91%

BTTS No 60% Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 56%

Serie A · Italy Bologna or draw 89%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Bologna Clean Sheet 53%

Süper Lig · Turkey Samsunspor or draw 88%

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 84%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Groningen or draw 84%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Utrecht or draw 84%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%

Premier Division · Ireland Dundalk or draw 84%

#10

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Willem II or draw 80%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

#11

Premier Division · Ireland Drogheda United or draw 80%

#12

Premier League · Ukraine Kryvbas KR or draw 79%

#13

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon or draw 78%

#14

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Patro Eisden or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%

#15

Serie B · Italy Cosenza or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#16

Championship · England Coventry or draw 76%

#17

Premier Division · Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 76%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal Arouca or draw 76%

Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 23 February 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bayer Leverkusen or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.