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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 20 December 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 20 December 2023. Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum (Bayer Leverkusen or draw) led the list at 93% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 93%
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 91%
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 88%
Barcelona
3 : 2 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 87%
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Cercle Brugge or draw 87%
Cercle Brugge
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 86%
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 86%
Athletic Club
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 86%
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 85%
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 83%
Stade Brestois 29
4 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 81%
Al Ain
4 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 78%
Nice
2 : 0 FT
Lens
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 39%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Reims or draw 77%
Reims
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin or draw 76%
Union Berlin
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 75%
Antalyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 75%
Kayserispor
3 : 4 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 20 December 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum (Bayer Leverkusen or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.