Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Sunday 12 November 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 November 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 94% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 84%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
94%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK or draw
93%
Serie B Β· Italy
Parma or draw
92%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
92%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
91%
Premier League Β· England
Brighton or draw
90%
Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod or draw
90%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
89%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
89%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona or draw
89%
Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa or draw
88%
Serie A Β· Italy
Inter or draw
88%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
88%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
87%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille or draw
86%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş or draw
86%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
86%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen or draw
85%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC or draw
84%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk or draw
84%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 12 November 2023?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.