Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 12 November 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 November 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 94% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 84%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 94%
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 8%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 89% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 93%
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 23%
Win 7%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy Parma or draw 92%
Lecco
3 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 8%
Draw 17%
Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 92%
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 91%
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England Brighton or draw 90%
Brighton
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia Nizhny Novgorod or draw 90%
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 0 FT
Baltika
Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 58%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 89%
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 89%
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 30%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 89%
Barcelona
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 61% Barcelona Clean Sheet 55%
#11 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa or draw 88%
Aston Villa
3 : 1 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 88%
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 88%
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 12%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 54%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 87%
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 86%
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 55%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 86%
Beşiktaş
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Beşiktaş Clean Sheet 57%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 86%
Kifisia
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 14%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 85%
Plzen
1 : 4 FT
Slovácko
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC or draw 84%
Servette FC
4 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 84%
Genk
3 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 12 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.