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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 21 October 2023

Wed 18 Thu 19 Fri 20 Sat 21 Sun 22 Mon 23 Tue 24

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 October 2023. Lech Poznan vs ŁKS Łódź (Lech Poznan or draw) led the list at 95% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 95%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 61% Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 59%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 92%

League One · England Charlton or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 59%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 89%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 89%

League One · England Barnsley or draw 88%

Super League · China Henan Jianye or draw 88%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Championship · England Watford or draw 86%

#10

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany SC Freiburg or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#12

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 83%

#13

League One · England Oxford United or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%

#14

Championship · England West Brom or draw 83%

#15

Championship · England Sunderland or draw 83%

#16

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#17

Ligue 2 · France Rodez or draw 83%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#18

La Liga · Spain Real Sociedad or draw 83%

Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 71%

#19

Super League 1 · Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 83%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%

#20

Thai League 1 · Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 21 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lech Poznan vs ŁKS Łódź (Lech Poznan or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.