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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 28 May 2023

Thu 25 Fri 26 Sat 27 Sun 28 Mon 29 Tue 30 Wed 31

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 May 2023. FC Volendam vs Excelsior (FC Volendam or draw) led the list at 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 91%

2. Bundesliga · Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 91%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 60%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 90%

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 57%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 90%

Serie A · Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 89%

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 88%

Premier League · Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 87%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 87%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%

#10

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 86%

#11

Premier League · Russia Lokomotiv or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#12

La Liga · Spain Almeria or draw 85%

#13

Eredivisie · Netherlands Utrecht or draw 84%

#14

Premier League · England Manchester United or draw 84%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%

#15

Premier League · England Crystal Palace or draw 83%

#16

Serie A · Brazil Internacional or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#17

K League 1 · South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#18

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#19

Serie A · Italy Lazio or draw 82%

#20

La Liga · Spain Athletic Club or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 28 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs Excelsior (FC Volendam or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.