Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 27 May 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Lens vs Ajaccio (Lens or draw) at 96% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 96%
Lens
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Lens Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 93%
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 92%
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 89%
Slavia Praha
4 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#5 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 89%
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
2 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 11%
Draw 22%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 89%
RB Leipzig
4 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 88%
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 88%
SC Braga
3 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 87%
Mjallby AIF
0 : 2 FT
Halmstad
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
#10 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Forge or draw 87%
Atlético Ottawa
0 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 13%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 87%
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 2 FT
Gremio
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 86%
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin or draw 86%
Union Berlin
1 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 85%
Piast Gliwice
0 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 67% Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 57%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 84%
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Salernitana or draw 84%
Salernitana
3 : 2 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Cracovia Krakow or draw 84%
Cracovia Krakow
3 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 83%
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 17%
Draw 24%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 83%
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 83%
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Jagiellonia
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 27 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lens vs Ajaccio (Lens or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.