🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 6 May 2023

Wed 3 Thu 4 Fri 5 Sat 6 Sun 7 Mon 8 Tue 9

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 6 May 2023. Manchester City vs Leeds (Manchester City or draw) sits top on 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Super League · China Chengdu Better City or draw 87%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%

Serie B · Italy Genoa or draw 86%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64% Genoa Clean Sheet 55%

Canadian Premier League · Canada Forge or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Zlin or draw 83%

Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 83%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Prachuap or draw 82%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 81%

#10

Super League 1 · Greece PAS Giannina or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#11

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#12

Ligue 2 · France Metz or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#13

Eredivisie · Netherlands Utrecht or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%

#14

Ligue 2 · France Bordeaux or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#15

K League 1 · South-Korea Pohang Steelers or draw 78%

#16

Super League 1 · Greece Lamia or draw 78%

#17

Primeira Liga · Portugal Boavista or draw 78%

#18

Ekstraklasa · Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%

#19

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#20

Thai League 1 · Thailand Chiangrai United or draw 78%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 6 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Leeds (Manchester City or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.