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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 23 January 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 23 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Ümraniyespor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 88% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 88%
Ümraniyespor
1 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 87%
Inter
0 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Valencia or draw 84%
Valencia
2 : 2 FT
Almeria
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 83%
Jong AZ
1 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna or draw 82%
Bologna
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Dhafra or draw 76%
Al-Dhafra
2 : 1 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 23 January 2023?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Ümraniyespor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.