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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 22 January 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 22 January 2023. Trabzonspor vs İstanbulspor (Trabzonspor or draw) sits top on 91% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 91%
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 87%
Ionikos
1 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 13%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 86%
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 86%
Al Bataeh
2 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 14%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 85%
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 84%
Al-Nassr
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 84%
Arsenal
3 : 2 FT
Manchester United
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 83%
Sukhothai FC
0 : 3 FT
Buriram United
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 83%
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chiangrai United or draw 83%
Chiangrai United
1 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 81%
Seraing United
0 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 81%
Antwerp
4 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 80%
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 3 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 80%
Sharjah FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 79%
Famalicao
0 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal or draw 79%
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Girona
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 79%
Juventus
3 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Udinese or draw 79%
Sampdoria
0 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 79%
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 79%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 22 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Trabzonspor vs İstanbulspor (Trabzonspor or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.