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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 5 November 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 5 November 2022. Barcelona vs Almeria (Barcelona or draw) led the list at 95% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 95%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 63%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 95%

✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 54%

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 59% AC Milan Clean Sheet 55%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Serie A · Brazil Santos or draw 91%

✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 64% Santos Clean Sheet 58%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 89%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 88%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 55%

#10

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%

#11

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC or draw 86%

#12

Challenger Pro League · Belgium SK Beveren or draw 86%

Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 72%

#13

Ligue 2 · France Sochaux or draw 85%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 69% Sochaux Clean Sheet 58%

#14

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#15

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 85%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%

#16

Primera División · Chile Union La Calera or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#17

Super League 1 · Greece Volos NFC or draw 84%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

#18

Premier League · Ukraine Oleksandria or draw 83%

#19

Championship · England Blackburn or draw 83%

#20

Superettan · Sweden Skövde AIK or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 5 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Almeria (Barcelona or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.