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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 30 October 2022

Thu 27 Fri 28 Sat 29 Sun 30 Mon 31 Tue 1 Wed 2

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 30 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest (Arsenal or draw) at 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Arsenal Clean Sheet 55%

Premier League · Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 93%

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 90%

Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Serie A · Italy Udinese or draw 89%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 89%

Serie A · Italy Lazio or draw 88%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#10

Challenger Pro League · Belgium RWDM or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

#11

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 86%

#12

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin or draw 85%

Union Berlin

2 : 1 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

#13

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%

#14

Bundesliga · Austria Sturm Graz or draw 85%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 64% Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 54%

#15

Primera División · Chile Colo Colo or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Colo Colo Clean Sheet 56%

#16

Premier League · England Manchester United or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#17

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%

#18

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 83%

#19

Challenger Pro League · Belgium SK Beveren or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%

#20

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 83%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 30 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest (Arsenal or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.