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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 31 October 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Monday 31 October 2022. IF Elfsborg vs Helsingborg (IF Elfsborg or draw) led the list at 87% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 87%
IF Elfsborg
3 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC or draw 85%
Vitória SC
3 : 2 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 85%
Başakşehir
3 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#4 League One Β· England Plymouth or draw 82%
Plymouth
4 : 2 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Curico Unido or draw 75%
Curico Unido
1 : 2 FT
Nublense
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 75%
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 31 October 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by IF Elfsborg vs Helsingborg (IF Elfsborg or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.