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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 23 October 2022

Thu 20 Fri 21 Sat 22 Sun 23 Mon 24 Tue 25 Wed 26

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 23 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Palmeiras vs Avai (Palmeiras or draw) at 94% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil Palmeiras or draw 94%

✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Palmeiras Clean Sheet 64%

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 60% Villarreal Clean Sheet 57%

Premier League · Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 88%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 64%

Premier League · Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 85%

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#10

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%

#11

Premier League · Russia Akhmat or draw 84%

#12

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany Hertha BSC or draw 83%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%

#14

Serie A · Italy Udinese or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#15

Super League · Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 82%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

#16

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vitória SC or draw 82%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%

#17

Superettan · Sweden Vasteras SK FK or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#18

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#19

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#20

2. Bundesliga · Germany Karlsruher SC or draw 79%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 23 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Palmeiras vs Avai (Palmeiras or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.