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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 20 October 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 20 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Hammarby FF vs Sirius (Hammarby FF or draw) at 91% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 91%
Hammarby FF
1 : 1 FT
Sirius
Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 84%
Zulte Waregem
3 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 16%
Draw 18%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 84%
Antwerp
3 : 0 FT
Oostende
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Kalmar FF or draw 82%
Kalmar FF
1 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 44%
Draw 38%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71% Kalmar FF Clean Sheet 57%
#5 Premier League Β· England Leicester or draw 80%
Leicester
2 : 0 FT
Leeds
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 78%
FC Basel 1893
0 : 0 FT
FC Zurich
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 77%
Malmo FF
2 : 3 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland Grasshoppers or draw 76%
Grasshoppers
2 : 3 FT
Servette FC
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Almeria or draw 76%
Almeria
3 : 2 FT
Girona
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 75%
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Villarreal
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 20 October 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Hammarby FF vs Sirius (Hammarby FF or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.