🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 16 August 2022

Sat 13 Sun 14 Mon 15 Tue 16 Wed 17 Thu 18 Fri 19

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Tuesday 16 August 2022. Bolton vs Morecambe (Bolton or draw) sits top on 90% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Bolton or draw 90%

League One · England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 86%

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 84%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65% Mansfield Town Clean Sheet 54%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 80%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

Championship · England Preston or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

League Two · England Doncaster or draw 78%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%

League Two · England Stevenage or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Superettan · Sweden Osters IF or draw 77%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Championship · England QPR or draw 77%

#10

League One · England Shrewsbury or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#11

League One · England Exeter City or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#12

Championship · England Birmingham or draw 76%

#13

League Two · England Gillingham or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#14

League Two · England Crewe or draw 75%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 16 August 2022?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bolton vs Morecambe (Bolton or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.