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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 13 August 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 13 August 2022. Zenit vs CSKA Moscow (Zenit or draw) led the list at 90% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 90%
Zenit
2 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Super League Β· China Henan Jianye or draw 86%
Henan Jianye
0 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV or draw 86%
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 14%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
Over 2.5 59%
#4 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 86%
Manchester City
4 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 84%
Tranmere
3 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 84%
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 2 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 84%
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#8 League Two Β· England Northampton or draw 84%
Northampton
2 : 1 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Goias or draw 84%
Goias
1 : 1 FT
Avai
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Cracovia Krakow or draw 84%
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Holstein Kiel or draw 82%
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 League One Β· England Accrington ST or draw 81%
Accrington ST
4 : 4 FT
Burton Albion
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Cercle Brugge or draw 81%
Cercle Brugge
0 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#14 Championship Β· England Hull City or draw 81%
Hull City
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#15 League Two Β· England Rochdale or draw 81%
Rochdale
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 81%
Sturm Graz
4 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Ligue 2 Β· France Sochaux or draw 80%
Sochaux
0 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#18 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 79%
Salford City
3 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 53%
#19 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Valour or draw 79%
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 0 FT
Valour
Win 21%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 79%
FC ST. Gallen
4 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 13 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs CSKA Moscow (Zenit or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.