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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 31 July 2022

Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 31 Mon 1 Tue 2 Wed 3

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 31 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Hammarby FF vs IFK Varnamo (Hammarby FF or draw) at 95% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 74%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 95%

Premier League · Russia Krylia Sovetov or draw 90%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 88%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 86%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Serie A · Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 84%

Serie A · Brazil America Mineiro or draw 82%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 67% America Mineiro Clean Sheet 54%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%

Premier League · Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 79%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 78%

#11

Primera División · Chile Curico Unido or draw 78%

#12

Bundesliga · Austria WSG Wattens or draw 77%

#13

Superettan · Sweden Utsikten or draw 77%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 77%

#15

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Vienna or draw 77%

#16

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 76%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 76%

#18

Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 75%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%

#19

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Klagenfurt or draw 75%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 31 July 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hammarby FF vs IFK Varnamo (Hammarby FF or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.