Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 6 March 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 6 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs Waalwijk (Ajax or draw) at 92% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
92%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes or draw
89%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen or draw
87%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
87%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
87%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI or draw
86%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
86%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
85%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
85%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
85%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp or draw
85%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus or draw
84%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov or draw
84%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo or draw
83%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo or draw
83%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
81%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor or draw
81%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 6 March 2022?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Waalwijk (Ajax or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.