Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 18 December 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 18 December 2021. Dordrecht vs Excelsior (Excelsior or draw) sits top on 92% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
92%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich or draw
90%
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim or draw
90%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
88%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko or draw
87%
League Two · England
Salford City or draw
87%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
86%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
83%
Championship · England
Blackpool or draw
83%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano or draw
83%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor or draw
83%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse or draw
82%
League One · England
Rotherham or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum or draw
79%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor or draw
79%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
79%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa or draw
78%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV or draw
78%
Championship · England
Blackburn or draw
77%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 18 December 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dordrecht vs Excelsior (Excelsior or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.