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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 20 November 2021

Wed 17 Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 20 November 2021. Stromsgodset vs Mjondalen (Stromsgodset or draw) led the list at 95% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset or draw 95%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 91%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 54%

Premier League · Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Championship · England Fulham or draw 91%

BTTS No 59% Fulham Clean Sheet 54%

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga or draw 89%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 89%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 59%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Eliteserien · Norway Haugesund or draw 88%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%

League Two · England Exeter City or draw 88%

#10

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 87%

#11

Championship · England Stoke City or draw 87%

#12

Serie A · Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 87%

#13

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 86%

#14

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 86%

Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 67%

#15

Premier League · Russia Krylia Sovetov or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 67% Krylia Sovetov Clean Sheet 57%

#16

Premier League · England Manchester United or draw 85%

#17

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 85%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%

#18

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 85%

#19

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Serie B · Italy Brescia or draw 83%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 20 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stromsgodset vs Mjondalen (Stromsgodset or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.