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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 7 November 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 7 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles (Ajax or draw) at 97% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 97%
Ajax
0 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 91%
Draw 6%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 83%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 93%
FC Basel 1893
0 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 93%
AIK Stockholm
3 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 90%
Molde
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 90%
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 10%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 65%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 66% Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 59%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 90%
Hammarby FF
3 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 88%
Sparta Praha
4 : 2 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 86%
Rennes
4 : 1 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 86%
West Ham
3 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 14%
Draw 17%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 86%
Santa Clara
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 14%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 56%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 86%
U. Catolica
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken or draw 85%
BK Hacken
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 85%
Marseille
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal or draw 84%
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk or draw 84%
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Longford Town
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 83%
Lazio
3 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 83%
Nice
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway Tromso or draw 82%
Tromso
1 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 82%
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 81%
Karviná
2 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 7 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles (Ajax or draw) at 97% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.