Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 28 August 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 28 August 2021. Manchester City vs Arsenal (Manchester City or draw) led the list at 90% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
90%
Premier League · England
West Ham or draw
89%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
89%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05 or draw
89%
Championship · England
Bournemouth or draw
88%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm or draw
88%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
87%
Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre or draw
87%
Championship · England
Birmingham or draw
86%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC or draw
86%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
84%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town or draw
84%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha or draw
83%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
82%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk or draw
82%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 28 August 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Arsenal (Manchester City or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.