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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 27 August 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 27 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Chornomorets vs Oleksandria (Oleksandria or draw) at 86% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine Oleksandria or draw 86%
Chornomorets v Oleksandria prediction
Win 14%
Draw 35%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Faisaly FC or draw 84%
Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Ittihad FC prediction
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 82%
Emmen v De Graafschap prediction
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Nantes or draw 80%
Nantes v Lyon prediction
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia FC Rostov or draw 80%
Ural v FC Rostov prediction
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV or draw 78%
FC Volendam v MVV prediction
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor or draw 78%
Adana Demirspor v Konyaspor prediction
Win 22%
Draw 37%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 78%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al Baten prediction
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia Rubin or draw 78%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 76%
Jong Ajax v Excelsior prediction
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 League Two Β· England Colchester or draw 76%
Rochdale v Colchester prediction
Win 24%
βœ“ Draw 40%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 76%
NAC Breda v ADO Den Haag prediction
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Taee or draw 76%
Al Taee v Al-Fayha prediction
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 75%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RWDM or draw 75%
RWDM v Excelsior Virton prediction
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 27 August 2021?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chornomorets vs Oleksandria (Oleksandria or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.