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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 4 January 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 53 fixtures on Saturday 4 January 2025. Galatasaray vs Göztepe sits top on 82% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
1 : 2 FT
Newcastle
Win 31%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
✓ Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Championship Β· England
Blackburn
0 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 23%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 20%
Championship Β· England
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Stoke City Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Burton Albion
0 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Notts County
2 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Bradford
3 : 1 FT
Grimsby
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
0 : 0 FT
PAU
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
1 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 4 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
1 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Bournemouth Clean Sheet 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
2 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
4 : 1 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Southampton
0 : 5 FT
Brentford
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 50%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
3 : 3 FT
Leeds
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
3 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
League One Β· England
Charlton
0 : 0 FT
Reading
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Exeter City
1 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Huddersfield
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 70%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
League One Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Wigan
0 : 3 FT
Birmingham
Win 29%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
1 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
0 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Colchester
0 : 2 FT
Accrington ST
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 32%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kallithea
2 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 1 FT
AVS
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Saint Etienne
3 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 3 FT
Napoli
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
2 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Brighton
1 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
2 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
1 : 3 FT
Arouca
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 53 of 53 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 4 January 2025?

53 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galatasaray vs Göztepe at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.