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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 22 November 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

40 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 22 November 2024. Jong PSV U21 vs FC Volendam sits top on 79% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 3–1 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Nasr
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
2 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
3 : 0 FT
Akron
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Karpaty
1 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 2 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Preußen Münster
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kallithea
1 : 2 FT
Panserraikos
Win 29%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
3 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
0 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
3 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
3 : 0 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
4 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Martigues
0 : 3 FT
Laval
Win 12%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 61%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Laval Clean Sheet 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 21%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
4 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 3 FT
Excelsior
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 4 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
3 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
3 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 4 FT
FC Volendam
Win 31%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 6 FT
Cambuur
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 4 FT
AS Eupen
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 72%
✓ Model Score 3–0 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 2 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
1 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 75%
Draw 19%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 56% Antwerp Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 0 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
2 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 22 November 2024?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs FC Volendam at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.