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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 6 May 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

47 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 6 May 2022. Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht sits top on 74% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 19%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
3 : 0 FT
Ajman
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
5 : 2 FT
Dynamo
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 2 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
4 : 4 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 6 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 0 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Crotone
0 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 0 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
4 : 2 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 2 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
4 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
✓ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
4 : 3 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
2 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
5 : 3 FT
Gornik Zabrze
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Como
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Alessandria
0 : 1 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Perugia
1 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
1 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Pordenone
✓ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Lecce Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
3 : 0 FT
Reggina
✓ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie B · Italy
Benevento
1 : 2 FT
Spal
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
4 : 1 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League One · England
Sunderland
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
2 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 4 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 11%
Draw 20%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–2 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
2 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 22%
Draw 38%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 72% Dundalk Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
2 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Levante
2 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
1 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 14%

Showing 47 of 47 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 6 May 2022?

47 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.