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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 20 August 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 34 fixtures on Friday 20 August 2021. Standard Liege vs Oostende led the list at 80% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 2 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
1 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 60%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
2 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
0 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
4 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
2 : 1 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 0 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 17%
Draw 31%
Win 52%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
2 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 32%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 17%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
3 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 4 FT
Roda
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
2 : 1 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 0 FT
RWDM
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
4 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
0 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 29%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 0 FT
Oostende
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
4 : 1 FT
Longford Town
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 4 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 26%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
1 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 30%
βœ“ Draw 40%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
3 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
2 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 20 August 2021?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by Standard Liege vs Oostende at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.