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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 27 September 2020

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Sunday 27 September 2020. Kristiansund BK vs Brann sits top on 79% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
1 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 30%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
3 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
4 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
4 : 4 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 1 FT
Brann
Win 54%
Draw 19%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
1 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
2 : 0 FT
Start
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 9%

Showing 13 of 13 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 27 September 2020?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kristiansund BK vs Brann at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.