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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 3 December 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Wednesday 3 December 2025. Bahia vs Sport Recife led the list at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Bahia Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 0 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
1 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
0 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
2 : 1 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
3 : 0 FT
Internacional
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
3 : 4 FT
Aston Villa
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 3 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
4 : 0 FT
Vitoria
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
0 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Juventude
0 : 3 FT
Santos
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 3 December 2025?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bahia vs Sport Recife at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.