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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 15 March 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 15 March 2025. Bradford vs Tranmere led the list at 62% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 46%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Bradford
0 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 66% Bradford Clean Sheet 62%
#2 League Two · England
Carlisle
1 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 18%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 73% AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 59%
#3 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
AVS
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
#4 League One · England
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Wigan
✓ Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 72% Charlton Clean Sheet 55%
#5 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 15%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ SC Braga Clean Sheet 55%
#6 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 61% FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheet 53%
#7 Championship · England
Preston
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 61%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Salernitana
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 League One · England
Wycombe
0 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#10 League One · England
Lincoln
5 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 24%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#13 Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#14 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 65%
BTTS No 56%
#15 League Two · England
Accrington ST
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#16 League One · England
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#17 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
Win 40%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#18 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
0 : 3 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
0 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#20 League One · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 15 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bradford vs Tranmere at 62% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.