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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 14 March 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 14 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Bristol City vs Norwich at 48% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Bristol City
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
4 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#4 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
✓ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
2 : 1 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#6 Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 15%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Cork City
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#10 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Primera División · Chile
Deportes Limache
2 : 3 FT
Huachipato
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#14 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
2 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 3 FT
Cremonese
Win 32%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 34%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 14 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol City vs Norwich at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.