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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 13 July 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 13 July 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon at 43% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#2 Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
✓ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#4 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
1 : 2 FT
York United
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#5 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
3 : 1 FT
Gais
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
1 : 2 FT
Cuiaba
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
0 : 0 FT
Molde
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
1 : 1 FT
Haugesund
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC
0 : 3 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
1 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#11 Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
2 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
2 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
3 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
5 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
0 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
✓ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
1 : 2 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#20 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 13 July 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon at 43% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.