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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 10 July 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 10 July 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Gremio vs Cruzeiro at 48% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

K League 1 supplies four of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
0 : 2 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
0 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 0 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
2 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 3 FT
Bahia
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
2 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 7 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 10 July 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Gremio vs Cruzeiro at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.