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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 27 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 27 April 2024. Bristol City vs Rotherham led the list at 56% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
2 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Bristol City Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
0 : 0 FT
Spezia
Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 12%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
3 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
3 : 1 FT
Chaves
Win 31%
Draw 38%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 82% BTTS No 74%
#8 League One Β· England
Derby
2 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 3 FT
Ruch Chorzów
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Wolfsberger AC
0 : 2 FT
FC BW Linz
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
4 : 1 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#12 League One Β· England
Reading
3 : 2 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#13 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 3 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden
Gefle IF
2 : 2 FT
Sandviken
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#15 League One Β· England
Stevenage
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#16 League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 2 FT
Portsmouth
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
0 : 1 FT
Ascoli
Win 34%
Draw 38%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#18 Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 2 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 27 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol City vs Rotherham at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.