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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 26 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 26 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday at 56% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 36%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Coventry
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Coventry Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Premier League · England
Newcastle
1 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS No 58% Newcastle Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Feralpisalo
2 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
#4 Championship · England
Cardiff
2 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#5 League One · England
Cheltenham
2 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 League One · England
Peterborough
2 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#7 League One · England
Oxford United
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#8 League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 League Two · England
Newport County
4 : 2 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Ternana
1 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 32%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#12 Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#14 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 0 FT
Grimsby
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Championship · England
Watford
1 : 4 FT
Bristol City
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57%
#16 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 53%
#17 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 2 FT
Como
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#18 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
3 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
#19 Championship · England
Millwall
2 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#20 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 26 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Coventry vs Sheffield Wednesday at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.