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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 10 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 10 December 2023. Oostende vs SK Beveren led the list at 54% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 37%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
0 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 18%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ SK Beveren Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 18%
Draw 35%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Reims
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Austria
FC BW Linz
1 : 2 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
1 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia
Baltika
0 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 25%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
0 : 0 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 25%
Draw 37%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Liège
1 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
4 : 0 FT
Chaves
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
2 : 1 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
2 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
3 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
2 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
4 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 10 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Oostende vs SK Beveren at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.